Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.001813 0.001924 0.002039 0.002167 0.002305 0.002450 0.002615
2025-04-13 0.001620 0.001772 0.001937 0.002127 0.002342 0.002579 0.002860
2025-04-20 0.001455 0.001629 0.001820 0.002049 0.002317 0.002621 0.002997
2025-04-27 0.001384 0.001578 0.001799 0.002070 0.002396 0.002779 0.003267
2025-05-04 0.001340 0.001554 0.001802 0.002114 0.002500 0.002966 0.003579
2025-05-11 0.001313 0.001546 0.001822 0.002176 0.002625 0.003182 0.003937
2025-05-18 0.001269 0.001513 0.001808 0.002194 0.002693 0.003327 0.004211
2025-05-25 0.001203 0.001450 0.001752 0.002153 0.002682 0.003367 0.004343
2025-06-01 0.001152 0.001403 0.001713 0.002132 0.002693 0.003434 0.004514
2025-06-08 0.001122 0.001380 0.001703 0.002147 0.002751 0.003565 0.004781
2025-06-15 0.001080 0.001339 0.001669 0.002126 0.002759 0.003626 0.004948
2025-06-22 0.001043 0.001304 0.001639 0.002111 0.002772 0.003694 0.005128
2025-06-29 0.000997 0.001258 0.001597 0.002079 0.002768 0.003746 0.005301
2025-07-06 0.000953 0.001212 0.001552 0.002043 0.002756 0.003786 0.005461
2025-07-13 0.000897 0.001149 0.001483 0.001970 0.002685 0.003735 0.005472
2025-07-20 0.000879 0.001135 0.001480 0.001990 0.002751 0.003892 0.005829
2025-07-27 0.000869 0.001133 0.001492 0.002032 0.002853 0.004109 0.006300
2025-08-03 0.000865 0.001139 0.001516 0.002091 0.002982 0.004376 0.006879
2025-08-10 0.000848 0.001126 0.001511 0.002108 0.003046 0.004543 0.007297
2025-08-17 0.000816 0.001089 0.001472 0.002069 0.003020 0.004559 0.007442
2025-08-24 0.000791 0.001062 0.001445 0.002049 0.003022 0.004621 0.007678
2025-08-31 0.000777 0.001050 0.001441 0.002063 0.003080 0.004782 0.008112
2025-09-07 0.000755 0.001026 0.001416 0.002043 0.003081 0.004843 0.008358